Truce in Gaza Brings Real Relief, However the US President's Promise of a Age of Plenty Appears Meaningless
The reprieve resulting from the end of fighting in Gaza is profound. In Israel, the release of surviving detainees has sparked broad celebration. In Gaza and the West Bank, celebrations have commenced as up to 2,000 Palestinian inmates are being freed – even as anguish remains due to ambiguity about which prisoners are returning and their destinations. Across northern Gaza, civilians can finally reenter search the debris for the bodies of an believed 10,000 missing people.
Ceasefire Emergence Despite Earlier Odds
Just three weeks ago, the probability of a ceasefire seemed unlikely. But it has taken effect, and on Monday Donald Trump travelled from Jerusalem, where he was applauded in the Knesset, to Sharm el-Sheikh in Egypt. There, he attended a prestigious peace summit of in excess of 20 world leaders, among them Sir Keir Starmer. The diplomatic roadmap launched at that summit is set to advance at a meeting in the UK. The US president, working alongside international partners, successfully brokered this deal happen – regardless of, not because of, Israel’s prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
Aspirations for Sovereignty Tempered by Historical Realities
Expectations that the deal signifies the initial move toward Palestinian statehood are reasonable – but, given historical precedent, rather hopeful. It lacks a transparent trajectory to self-rule for Palestinians and endangers splitting, for the foreseeable future, Gaza from the West Bank. Additionally the utter devastation this war has caused. The absence of any schedule for Palestinian self-governance in the presidential proposal undermines vainglorious references, in his Knesset speech, to the “epochal beginning” of a “age of abundance”.
The US president was unable to refrain from polarising and making personal the deal in his speech.
In a moment of relief – with the hostage release, halt in fighting and restart of aid – he chose to recast it as a morality play in which he alone restored Israel’s honor after supposed betrayal by previous American leaders Obama and Biden. This despite the Biden administration a year ago having tried a similar deal: a cessation of hostilities linked to relief entry and eventual political talks.
Genuine Autonomy Vital for Legitimate Peace
A proposal that refuses one side genuine autonomy cannot produce sustainable agreement. The ceasefire and relief shipments are to be embraced. But this is not currently policy development. Without systems guaranteeing Palestinian engagement and control over their own establishments, any deal risks cementing oppression under the rhetoric of peace.
Aid Necessities and Rebuilding Obstacles
Gaza’s people crucially depend on emergency support – and sustenance and pharmaceuticals must be the first priority. But restoration should not be postponed. Among 60 million tonnes of debris, Palestinians need support reconstructing residences, learning institutions, healthcare facilities, mosques and other establishments devastated by Israel’s incursion. For Gaza’s provisional leadership to succeed, monetary resources must be disbursed rapidly and security gaps be remedied.
Like a great deal of Donald Trump's peace plan, allusions to an global peacekeeping unit and a recommended “peace council” are alarmingly vague.
Worldwide Endorsement and Future Prospects
Robust global backing for the Palestinian Authority, allowing it to take over from Hamas, is perhaps the most hopeful prospect. The immense hardship of the previous 24 months means the moral case for a resolution to the conflict is possibly more critical than ever. But even as the ceasefire, the repatriation of the hostages and commitment by Hamas to “disarm” Gaza should be recognized as positive steps, Mr Trump’s track record offers minimal cause to believe he will deliver – or feel bound to attempt. Short-term relief does not mean that the likelihood of a Palestinian state has been brought closer.